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Is it time to take space-based solar power seriously?

Economies.com
2026-02-19 20:24PM UTC

Some of you may remember devouring paperback science-fiction novels with bold futuristic covers and imagining the worlds created by Isaac Asimov, Arthur C. Clarke, Robert Heinlein, and Ray Bradbury: planetary entrepreneurs, galactic empires, and firemen who burned books. In 1941, Asimov wrote a story about solar power stations in space transmitting energy back to Earth. Later, in 1951, Arthur C. Clarke explained in his book “The Exploration of Space” how satellites could be used for communications, while also referring to an older German idea dating back decades that proposed placing mirrors in space to reflect warming rays toward Earth — an early concept of climate control.

 

Moving forward to 1968, Peter Glaser, a consultant at Arthur D. Little, proposed building a solar power satellite. In 1989, a NASA committee issued a report on constructing fusion power stations on the Moon, and several committee members, including Glaser, argued that solar-powered satellites might be a better idea.

 

At this point, you may think that the concept of solar power satellites has led nowhere for nearly a century. And indeed, it may seem difficult to market such an idea to an industry still reliant on coal and struggling to keep the lights on during and after severe storms. But Elon Musk has entered the discussion, announcing that within three years he plans to place AI data centers powered by solar energy in space and beam data back to Earth. Jeff Bezos made a similar prediction late last year. More cautious observers believe the project could take ten years.

 

The economics are not yet viable. But we are talking about technology pioneers with ambitious visions and armies of enthusiastic investors eager to capture the next big opportunity, so fluctuating economic calculations are unlikely to stop them. Once such projects are built, the technology remains even if the original founders fail to achieve the financial returns they expected.

 

Now to the energy markets. If it becomes possible to launch a satellite equipped with solar panels to power AI data centers that consume electricity equivalent to a small city, would it be much harder to launch a solar power satellite capable of beaming enough energy to Earth to supply a small city? And would solar power satellites become suppliers for microgrids and small-scale systems, or for large centralized grids? We once believed the latter would be the answer, but we are no longer certain.

 

If space technology pioneers succeed, what would that mean for electricity demand on Earth from AI data centers, which have now become the only growth engine for the power industry, after the Donald Trump administration effectively declared that decarbonization and electric vehicles are “un-American”?

 

Have we been overreading science fiction? Science-fiction writers predicted submarines, travel to the Moon, ray weapons, mass surveillance, satellites, and intelligent — even malevolent — computers. They had vision. How many visionary executives in the electricity industry have you met recently?

Copper pressured by stronger dollar, as inventories hit 11-month peak

Economies.com
2026-02-19 16:38PM UTC

Copper prices declined on Thursday, approaching their lowest level in about a week, after investors stepped in to buy the previous session’s dip and as industrial metals tracked the decline in technology stocks.

 

Traders in China — the world’s largest consumer of metals — were largely absent from the market due to the Lunar New Year holiday. Tom Price, an analyst at Panmure Liberum, said they “rarely leave large capital positions in the market” during the holiday period, adding that volatility tends to increase, which leads to dip-buying activity. “I think that will provide some support,” he said.

 

Brokerage firm Marex said in a note that the base metals complex is now taking its cues instead from the performance of technology stocks, particularly the Nasdaq index.

 

Copper inventories in London Metal Exchange warehouses rose for a twelfth consecutive day to reach 224,625 tons, the highest level in 11 months, with new inflows into warehouses in New Orleans and Kaohsiung.

 

US warehouses now account for around 18% of total copper available in exchange storage, while 538,122 tons remain in the US COMEX exchange.

 

“When inventories and copper prices rise together, there is something unusual happening,” Price said, adding that US copper consumption rates have declined over the past twelve months.

 

The London cash copper contract was trading at a discount of $97 per ton compared with the three-month futures contract, indicating no urgent need for immediate supply in the near term.

 

Peruvian equities upgraded on copper cycle support

 

Rising metals prices — driven by artificial intelligence demand and the recovery in global industry — led analysts at Oxford Economics to upgrade Peruvian equities to “Overweight” on Thursday.

 

The firm also maintained an “Overweight” rating on Brazil, based on expectations of interest rate cuts.

 

Analysts said Peru is best positioned to benefit from the copper cycle due to its heavy export reliance on the red metal, which is seeing strong demand driven by data center construction.

 

Although Chile is also a major copper producer, analysts pointed to downside risks including mine closures, strikes, and logistical bottlenecks, while keeping a “Neutral” rating.

 

In Brazil — which has a more diversified economy than its regional peers — analysts expect the anticipated rate-cut cycle to serve as a “powerful catalyst for local equity markets over the medium term.”

 

By contrast, Oxford Economics maintained an “Underweight” rating for both Mexico and Colombia, citing political uncertainty linked to trade negotiations between Mexico and the United States and Canada, in addition to the monetary tightening cycle in the Andean nation.

 

Meanwhile, the US dollar index rose by 0.2% to 97.8 points at 16:26 GMT, recording a session high of 98.07 and a low of 97.5.

 

During US trading hours, May copper futures were down 0.7% at $5.82 per pound at 16:14 GMT.

Bitcoin falls below $67,000 after Fed's bullish minutes

Economies.com
2026-02-19 14:05PM UTC

In recent trading sessions, Bitcoin fell sharply and dropped below $67,000 after the latest minutes of the Federal Reserve’s January meeting signaled a more hawkish stance toward interest rates and inflation. The move sent shockwaves through equity and cryptocurrency markets as traders reassessed expectations for US monetary policy and its impact on risk-based assets such as Bitcoin. The decline reflects growing investor caution amid uncertainty surrounding interest rates and broader economic conditions.

 

For many investors and analysts in equity research communities, the event highlights how macroeconomic policy decisions continue to influence digital assets such as Bitcoin despite these markets operating independently of traditional financial systems.

 

What happened to Bitcoin’s price

 

Bitcoin had previously traded above $68,000 but slipped below key support levels, trading around $66,000–67,000 as markets digested the Federal Reserve minutes. This represents a notable pullback from earlier gains this year when Bitcoin traded near significantly higher levels.

 

The minutes revealed that the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged at 3.50 to 3.75 percent, but policymakers expressed concern that inflation remains elevated and suggested that future rate hikes could be necessary if price pressures do not ease. The tone surprised many market participants who had hoped for clearer signals toward rate cuts.

 

Higher interest rates tend to make riskier assets less attractive because investors can earn more from safer options such as bonds and Treasury yields. Bitcoin is often viewed as a speculative asset closely tied to broader market sentiment, so when interest rates rise or are expected to rise, Bitcoin’s price is typically affected negatively.

 

The importance of the Federal Reserve minutes for Bitcoin investors

 

Federal Reserve minutes provide important insights into how central bank officials view the economy and monetary policy strategy. Investors study these minutes to gauge future interest rate moves because rate changes affect liquidity and risk appetite across markets.

 

When the Federal Reserve signals a hawkish bias — meaning policymakers are prepared to keep interest rates higher for longer — investors reduce exposure to speculative assets and shift capital toward safer investments. Bitcoin’s drop below $67,000 reflects this shift in sentiment.

 

Short-term traders and institutional investors respond quickly to such signals by selling positions or hedging risk, further amplifying price volatility. For a crypto asset that does not generate dividends or interest, higher rates make other asset classes appear more attractive by comparison.

 

Impact on cryptocurrency market sentiment

 

Bitcoin’s decline also weighed on sentiment across the broader cryptocurrency market. Other major digital assets such as Ether and Ripple posted losses during the same period as investors pulled back from risk-exposed assets.

 

As the largest and most closely watched cryptocurrency, Bitcoin often serves as a leading indicator for broader crypto trends. When Bitcoin loses ground, other coins typically follow. This is one reason traders closely monitor Bitcoin’s price reaction after major economic events such as Federal Reserve announcements.

 

Risk appetite indicators — commonly tracked by market analysts — showed rising levels of “fear,” indicating that traders became more conservative toward risk in response to macroeconomic uncertainty.

 

Opportunities for long-term investors

 

Despite the decline, some long-term Bitcoin holders view the dip as a buying opportunity, particularly if they believe in Bitcoin’s long-term prospects as a digital store of value or hedge against inflation.

 

Large holders and corporate entities that accumulate Bitcoin over time may continue purchasing during dips to average entry costs and strengthen long-term positions.

 

Technical and market indicators

 

Technical indicators showed that Bitcoin entered oversold conditions as relative strength indicators fell to lower levels before stabilizing. This suggests that strong selling momentum pushed prices downward, but reduced selling pressure may create a base for potential rebound attempts.

 

Traders often watch support zones around $66,000 and resistance areas near $68,000 to gauge the direction of future moves. A break below these critical levels could signal further losses or the start of a deeper correction phase.

 

Trading volumes also increased during the selloff, indicating strong participation from both sides as Bitcoin’s price fluctuated.

 

Short- and long-term outlook

 

In the short term, Bitcoin may continue to experience elevated volatility as markets interpret evolving macroeconomic data and upcoming releases including inflation reports and employment figures. These data points will influence expectations for future Federal Reserve policy.

 

Over the longer term, many analysts see Bitcoin’s price influenced by a complex mix of fundamentals, supply and demand dynamics, investor adoption trends, and regulatory developments. Events such as equity market cycles and trends in institutional adoption of digital assets also play a key role.

 

While some view Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation or fiat currency weakness, others argue that its volatility may limit broader mainstream adoption until clearer regulatory frameworks emerge.

Oil widens gains on concerns about potential US-Iran conflict

Economies.com
2026-02-19 12:59PM UTC

Oil prices rose on Thursday, driven by growing concerns over a potential military conflict between the United States and Iran as both countries escalated their military activity in the oil-producing region.

 

Brent crude futures were up by $1.09, or 1.55%, at $71.44 per barrel by 1247 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) also gained $1.09, or 1.7%, to $66.28.

 

Both benchmarks approached six-month highs on Thursday after surging more than 4% on Wednesday as traders priced in supply disruption risks in the event of conflict.

 

Rising geopolitical risks

 

The recent rise in oil prices suggests the market is adding to an already significant geopolitical risk premium, as the world’s most important oil artery returns to the danger zone once again, according to Saxo Bank analyst Ole Hansen.

 

Around 20% of global oil supplies pass through the Strait of Hormuz.

 

Iranian state media reported that the country closed the Strait of Hormuz for a few hours on Tuesday without clarifying whether the passage had been fully reopened.

 

Expectations of further gains

 

There is additional room for oil prices to rise if the perceived likelihood of strikes on Iran increases, said Energy Aspects analyst Richard Jones, adding that some traders have abandoned expectations of an imminent deal with Iran and instead begun pricing in higher risks of near-term military action.

 

Some progress was made during Iran talks in Geneva this week, but gaps remained on several issues, the White House said on Wednesday, adding that it expects Tehran to return with more details within a few weeks.

 

Iran issued a notice to airmen (NOTAM) indicating planned missile launches across areas in the south of the country on Thursday from 0330 GMT to 1330 GMT, according to the US Federal Aviation Administration website.

 

US military escalation

 

Meanwhile, the United States deployed warships near Iran, with US Vice President JD Vance saying Washington is considering whether to continue diplomatic engagement with Tehran or pursue another option.

 

Meanwhile, two days of peace talks in Geneva between Ukraine and Russia ended on Wednesday without a breakthrough, with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy accusing Moscow of stalling US-led mediation efforts to end the four-year war.

 

US crude oil, gasoline, and diesel inventories declined last week, market sources said, citing figures from the American Petroleum Institute on Wednesday, contrary to a Reuters poll that had expected crude stockpiles to rise by 2.1 million barrels in the week ending February 13.

 

Official US oil inventory reports from the Energy Information Administration are due to be released on Thursday.